Your brain needs three factors to evaluate a particular action:
- risk -- what is the chance of the reward actually coming through? Lottery chance is tiny, work is almost certain.
- cost -- what is the cost that you need to pay? (could be money, time, work, reputation, etc.)
- reward -- what is the payoff that you get once you paid the cost and accepted the risk?
There are THREE ways you can be lead to making a 'wrong' decision
- Your lack of skepticism, as you accept whatever you're told, without any fact-checking
- You were given extra factors to consider instead of just the relevant factors, which weighed the decision in their favor instead of yours
- You were given a distorted picture of the three factors: risk / cost / reward
The lack of skepticism is very much your own responsibility, but it is easily cured with a dose of skepticism.
Propaganda / persuasion / compliance techniques can be used to turn you a certain way, but you can see through that.
Deliberate action by the other party to misrepresent the factors involved means it's a scam.
- Misrepresent risk as far lower than it is
- Misrepresent cost as much lower than it is
- Misrepresent reward as much higher than it is
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